Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·98%(+91%)Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?·Derrick Anderson·2%(-88%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Missouri·13%(-76%)Missouri's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 20+ pts·70%(+69%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/30-9/5)·At least 3·18%(-64%)MO-05 House winner?·Democratic party·84%(+61%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·77%(+61%)When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?·Before Nov 1, 2026·28%(-54%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·97%(+54%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 1·99%(+52%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·27%(-52%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·2%(-49%)Wisconsin's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·92.5%(+46.5%)How many people will Trump pardon in Sep 2026?·0·20%(-45%)

Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·98%(+91%)Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?·Derrick Anderson·2%(-88%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Missouri·13%(-76%)Missouri's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 20+ pts·70%(+69%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/30-9/5)·At least 3·18%(-64%)MO-05 House winner?·Democratic party·84%(+61%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·77%(+61%)When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?·Before Nov 1, 2026·28%(-54%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·97%(+54%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 1·99%(+52%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·27%(-52%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·2%(-49%)Wisconsin's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·92.5%(+46.5%)How many people will Trump pardon in Sep 2026?·0·20%(-45%)

Live market summary

Before Nov 3, 2026 is favored at 22% as of 4 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC across 1 market.

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Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?

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Before Nov 3, 2026

22%

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$2K

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Who is favored in Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?

Before Nov 3, 2026 is favored at 22% as of 4 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?

Before Nov 3, 2026: 22%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.