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CongressionalHistorical market

Virginia redistricting referendum margin of victory?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Yes, 3-6% had the highest retained price at 3.8% when this page was last updated on 16 May 2026, 01:57 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Yes, 3-6%
Closed contract
3.8%
No, 0-3%
Closed contract
1.1%
Yes, 0-3%
Closed contract
1%
No, 3%+
Closed contract
0.8%
Yes, 6-9%
Closed contract
0.6%
Yes, 12-15%
Closed contract
0.4%
Yes, 9-12%
Closed contract
0.3%
Yes, 15%+
Closed contract
0.3%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Virginia redistricting referendum margin of victory?

Yes, 3-6% had the highest retained price at 3.8% when this page was last updated on 16 May 2026, 01:57 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Virginia redistricting referendum margin of victory?

Yes, 3-6%: 3.8%; No, 0-3%: 1.1%; Yes, 0-3%: 1%; No, 3%+: 0.8%; Yes, 6-9%: 0.6%; Yes, 12-15%: 0.4%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.