Powered by KalshiMA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)·Richard Neal, ≥15%·2%(-63%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥10%·98%(+61%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent·At least 55%·9%(-60%)Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?·Brandon Dukes·99%(+54%)MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-51%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?·António Guterres·74%(+49%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·89%(+49%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Beau Bayh·50%(-45%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?·Above 38.6%·68%(+45%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Jeromie Whalen vote percent·At least 40%·99%(+44%)MA-08 Democratic primary: Stephen Lynch vote percent·At least 55%·96%(+43%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)·Ed Markey, ≥35%·1%(-42%)Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?·France·6.8%(-39.2%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?·Above 5.9%·11%(-39%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 50·2%(-38%)

Powered by KalshiMA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)·Richard Neal, ≥15%·2%(-63%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥10%·98%(+61%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent·At least 55%·9%(-60%)Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?·Brandon Dukes·99%(+54%)MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-51%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?·António Guterres·74%(+49%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·89%(+49%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Beau Bayh·50%(-45%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?·Above 38.6%·68%(+45%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Jeromie Whalen vote percent·At least 40%·99%(+44%)MA-08 Democratic primary: Stephen Lynch vote percent·At least 55%·96%(+43%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)·Ed Markey, ≥35%·1%(-42%)Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?·France·6.8%(-39.2%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?·Above 5.9%·11%(-39%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 50·2%(-38%)

Live market summary

Before Jan 2027 is favored at 7% as of 2 Sep 2026, 06:04 UTC across 1 market.

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Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?

All options

Before Jan 2027

7%

▲ +4%

$21K

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Who is favored in Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?

Before Jan 2027 is favored at 7% as of 2 Sep 2026, 06:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?

Before Jan 2027: 7%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.