Powered by KalshiFlorida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 27+ pts·98.7%(+83.7%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 12 million·3%(-82%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 115 million·31%(-59%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 3, 2026?·40.2 to 40.4·97%(+50%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·48%(+42%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·50%(+41%)AZ-08 Democratic nominee?·Raymond Keeler·20%(-36%)LA-01 Republican nominee?·Steve Scalise·8%(-29%)How many candidates endorsed by Justice Democrats will win their primaries?·Above 6·48%(+25%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Ed Miliband·59%(-22%)AZ-04 Democratic nominee?·Kai Newkirk·37%(+20%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·10%(-20%)NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Claire Valdez, 0-3%·1%(-20%)Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?·John Hickenlooper, ≥6%·3%(-20%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·56%(-19%)

Powered by KalshiFlorida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 27+ pts·98.7%(+83.7%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 12 million·3%(-82%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 115 million·31%(-59%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 3, 2026?·40.2 to 40.4·97%(+50%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·48%(+42%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·50%(+41%)AZ-08 Democratic nominee?·Raymond Keeler·20%(-36%)LA-01 Republican nominee?·Steve Scalise·8%(-29%)How many candidates endorsed by Justice Democrats will win their primaries?·Above 6·48%(+25%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Ed Miliband·59%(-22%)AZ-04 Democratic nominee?·Kai Newkirk·37%(+20%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·10%(-20%)NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Claire Valdez, 0-3%·1%(-20%)Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?·John Hickenlooper, ≥6%·3%(-20%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·56%(-19%)

Live summary

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026? is favored at 60% as of 3 Jul 2026, 18:03 UTC across 1 market. Live odds from Kalshi.

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Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?

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Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?

60%

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