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InternationalHistorical market

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Andy Burnham had the highest retained price at 99.9% when this page was last updated on 21 Jul 2026, 14:33 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Andy Burnham
Closed contract
99.9%
Catherine West
Closed contract
1%
Ed Miliband
Closed contract
0.9%
Kemi Badenoch
Closed contract
0.9%
Darren Jones
Closed contract
0.9%
Yvette Cooper
Closed contract
0.5%
Shabana Mahmood
Closed contract
0.5%
Rachel Reeves
Closed contract
0.5%
Boris Johnson
Closed contract
0.3%
Nigel Farage
Closed contract
0.1%
Rupert Lowe
Closed contract
0.1%
Wes Streeting
Closed contract
0.1%
Angela Rayner
Closed contract
0.1%
Al Carns
Closed contract
0.1%
David Lammy
Closed contract
0.1%
Lucy Powell
Closed contract
0.1%
Andrew Tate
Closed contract
0.1%
Bridget Phillipson
Closed contract
0.1%
Ed Davey
Closed contract
0.1%
Robert Jenrick
Closed contract
0.1%
James Cleverly
Closed contract
0.1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Andy Burnham had the highest retained price at 99.9% when this page was last updated on 21 Jul 2026, 14:33 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Andy Burnham: 99.9%; Catherine West: 1%; Ed Miliband: 0.9%; Kemi Badenoch: 0.9%; Darren Jones: 0.9%; Yvette Cooper: 0.5%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.