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Will Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030? is favored at 18% as of 13 Sep 2026, 23:04 UTC across 1 market.

  • Will Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?: 18% (24h change 0%)
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Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

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Market question: Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

Will Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030? is favored at 18% as of 13 Sep 2026, 23:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

Will Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?: 18%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.