Live market summary
2 is favored at 63% as of 3 Oct 2026, 21:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- 2: 63% (24h change 0%)
- 3: 29% (24h change 0%)
- 4: 6.7% (24h change 0%)
- 5: 6.5% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: How many government shutdowns in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How many government shutdowns in 2026?
2 is favored at 63% as of 3 Oct 2026, 21:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How many government shutdowns in 2026?
2: 63%; 3: 29%; 4: 6.7%; 5: 6.5%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.