Live market summary
Before 2030 is favored at 43% as of 4 Oct 2026, 02:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- Before 2030: 43% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2029: 30% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2028: 29% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2027: 8.9% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
Before 2030 is favored at 43% as of 4 Oct 2026, 02:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
Before 2030: 43%; Before 2029: 30%; Before 2028: 29%; Before 2027: 8.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.