Zohran Mamdani is favored at 80% as of 8 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC across 12 markets.
- Zohran Mamdani: 80% (24h change -5%)
- Jessica Tisch: 8% (24h change +1%)
- Curtis Sliwa: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Eric Adams: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Brad Lander: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Letitia James: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Mark Levine: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Julie Menin: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Andrew Cuomo: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Donald Trump: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Bill Ackman: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Dave Portnoy: 1% (24h change 0%)
New York City mayoral election winner?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: New York City mayoral election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New York City mayoral election winner?
Zohran Mamdani is favored at 80% as of 8 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New York City mayoral election winner?
Zohran Mamdani: 80%; Jessica Tisch: 8%; Curtis Sliwa: 5%; Eric Adams: 4%; Brad Lander: 1%; Letitia James: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.