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Powered by Kalshi2028 Democratic Presidential ticket·Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear·97.7%(+93.7%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·4%(-85%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·23%(-63%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Rahm Emanuel·77%(+59%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·62%(+33%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·61%(+32%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 58·56%(-31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)GA-13 special election winner?·Marcye Scott·43%(+26%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?·$15 Minimum Wage by 2029·26%(-24%)Will crypto market structure legislation become law?·Before Apr 1, 2027·41%(+23%)
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Summary

Zohran Mamdani is favored at 20% as of 10 Jul 2026, 00:02 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Zohran Mamdani: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Andrew Cuomo: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Brad Lander: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Mark Levine: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Jessica Tisch: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Letitia James: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Eric Adams: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Curtis Sliwa: 3% (24h change 0%)
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