Live market summary
Below 30% is favored at 40% as of 10 Sep 2026, 16:06 UTC across 1 market.
- Below 30%: 40% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Will a NYT select poll show Trump below 30% approval?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will a NYT select poll show Trump below 30% approval?
Below 30% is favored at 40% as of 10 Sep 2026, 16:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will a NYT select poll show Trump below 30% approval?
Below 30%: 40%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.