Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
Trade ↗Labour is favored at 64% as of 26 Oct 2026, 19:06 UTC across 7 markets.
- Labour: 64% (24h change 0%)
- National: 59% (24h change 0%)
- Greens: 54% (24h change 0%)
- New Zealand First: 54% (24h change 0%)
- Te Pāti Māori: 40% (24h change 0%)
- ACT: 40% (24h change 0%)
- Opportunity: 30% (24h change 0%)
All options
About this market
Market question: Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
Labour is favored at 64% as of 26 Oct 2026, 19:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
Labour: 64%; National: 59%; Greens: 54%; New Zealand First: 54%; Te Pāti Māori: 40%; ACT: 40%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.