Election Odds
How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·At least 1·2%(-77%)CA-25 primary: Who will advance?·Ceci Truman·20%(-51%)CA-47 primary: Who will advance?·Christopher Gonzales·20%(-43%)CA-28 primary: Who will advance?·Peter Roybal·11%(-40%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Woody Allen·51%(-34%)California Governor winner?·Eric Swalwell·2.6%(-31.4%)CA-43 primary: Who will advance?·David Sedlik·17%(-30%)California governor primary: 2nd place·Eric Swalwell·1%(-29%)California Governor primary: 1st place·Tom Steyer·47%(+28%)California Governor primary: 1st place·Eric Swalwell·0.7%(-26.3%)How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·At least 5·2%(-26%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before Jul 3, 2026·71%(+25%)California Governor matchup?·Steve Hilton vs. Eric Swalwell·1%(-24%)CA-28 primary: Who will advance?·April Verlato·81%(+24%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before Jun 12, 2026·61%(+23%)California governor primary: 3rd place·Eric Swalwell·2%(-22%)California Governor matchup?·Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer·45%(+21%)CA-02 primary: Who will advance?·Tim Geist·13%(-19%)CA-15 primary: Who will advance?·Jim Garrity·5%(-17%)Hungary parliamentary election: Fidesz–KDNP number of seats?·Above 50·81%(-17%)
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What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

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