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What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥3 years had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 14 Jun 2026, 08:32 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥3 years
Closed contract
99%
Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥1 year
Closed contract
99%
Ballroom security funding
Closed contract
1%
Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥3 years
Closed contract
1%
Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥1 year
Closed contract
1%
'Anti-weaponization' fund restrictions
Closed contract
1%
Reducing EITC improper payments
Closed contract
1%
State grants for election administration
Closed contract
1%
Secret Service funding
Closed contract
1%
Defense appropriations >$1 billion
Closed contract
1%
Reduction in Medicaid spending
Closed contract
1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥3 years had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 14 Jun 2026, 08:32 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥3 years: 99%; Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥1 year: 99%; Ballroom security funding: 1%; Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥3 years: 1%; Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥1 year: 1%; 'Anti-weaponization' fund restrictions: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.