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Powered by KalshiAK-AL primary: Who will advance?·Matthew Schultz·10%(-84%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·91%(+62%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)·Above 60·16%(-50%)Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?·No new person·66%(+47%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 38·97%(+44%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Sanae Takaichi·14%(-41%)Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?·Before Jan 1, 2027·23%(-40%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Jonathan Reynolds·86%(+35%)RI-02 Republican nominee?·Stephen Skoly·73%(+32%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Larry Page·27%(-31%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Russell Fry·78%(+31%)Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?·Claudia Sheinbaum·93%(+27%)FL-04 Democratic nominee?·LaShonda Holloway·71%(+26%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·72%(-24.5%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/12-7/18)·At least 7·2%(-24%)
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Summary

Before Dec 1, 2026 is favored at 35% as of 18 Jul 2026, 04:03 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Dec 1, 2026: 35% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Nov 1, 2026: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Oct 1, 2026: 22% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 1, 2026: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Sep 1, 2026: 1% (24h change 0%)
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When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

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