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Powered by KalshiHow many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?·Above 41,000·97%(+92%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·11%(-87%)Who will Trump pardon in 2026?·Leonard Glenn Francis·13%(-86%)How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?·Above 16,000·94%(+85%)Clacton by-election: 3rd place·Rejoin EU·99%(+83%)Clacton by-election margin of victory?·Reform UK, ≥40%·1%(-80%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?·Pete Buttigieg·88%(+75%)Who will Russell Fry endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?·Darline Graham·99%(+71%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·10%(-60%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·77%(+59%)Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent·At least 25%·99%(+58%)Who will Trump pardon?·Steve Bannon·29%(-57%)When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(-54%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Rahm Emanuel·24%(-53%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·60%(+51.3%)
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Summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 57% as of 14 Aug 2026, 15:34 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 57% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Dec 1, 2026: 29% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Nov 1, 2026: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Oct 1, 2026: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Sep 1, 2026: 1% (24h change 0%)
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When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

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