Live market summary
Texas is favored at 34% as of 24 Sep 2026, 02:06 UTC across 5 markets.
- Texas: 34% (24h change 0%)
- Alaska: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Ohio: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Florida: 1% (24h change 0%)
- North Carolina: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
Texas is favored at 34% as of 24 Sep 2026, 02:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
Texas: 34%; Alaska: 15%; Ohio: 7%; Florida: 1%; North Carolina: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.