Powered by KalshiNY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Micah Lasher, 4-6%·3%(-93%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·93%(+89%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 12 million·88%(+85%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Jul 2026?·At least 3·7%(-67%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 70k·99%(+67%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·Mike Lindell·99%(+66%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/13 - 7/19)·July 14·65%(+60%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 8·27%(-53%)Will the US Mint finalize a design for the Trump dollar before 2027?·In 2026·95.5%(+52.5%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Shabana Mahmood·93%(+51%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 60·70%(+49%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·John Thune·54%(+49%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Wes Streeting·94%(+46%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·79%(+44%)Joe Biden's presidential memoir release date·Before Oct 1, 2026·8%(-43%)

Powered by KalshiNY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Micah Lasher, 4-6%·3%(-93%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·93%(+89%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 12 million·88%(+85%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Jul 2026?·At least 3·7%(-67%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 70k·99%(+67%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·Mike Lindell·99%(+66%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/13 - 7/19)·July 14·65%(+60%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 8·27%(-53%)Will the US Mint finalize a design for the Trump dollar before 2027?·In 2026·95.5%(+52.5%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Shabana Mahmood·93%(+51%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 60·70%(+49%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·John Thune·54%(+49%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Wes Streeting·94%(+46%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·79%(+44%)Joe Biden's presidential memoir release date·Before Oct 1, 2026·8%(-43%)

Summary

Below 193 is favored at 20% as of 16 Jul 2026, 07:03 UTC across 11 markets. Kalshi odds.

house11 marketsLIVE

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

All options

Below 193

20%

▲ +2%

$360K

203-207

15%

▲ +3%

$105K

198-202

12%

—

$98K

208-212

11%

▼ -1%

$124K

218-222

9.9%

—

$202K

213-217

9.3%

▲ +1.3%

$115K

193-197

9%

—

$115K

223-227

5.7%

▼ -0.2%

$312K

Above 237

3.7%

—

$205K

228-232

3.2%

▲ +1.1%

$277K

233-237

2.1%

—

$189K