Powered by KalshiFL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 40%·1%(-97%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-95%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·5%(-88%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·88%(+83%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+81%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 55%·99%(+79%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+77%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+76%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 40-50%·7%(-57%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 20%·2%(-57%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Bill Hill vote percent·At least 35%·1%(-54%)FL-02 Republican primary: Austin Rogers vote percent·At least 30%·98%(+53%)

Powered by KalshiFL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 40%·1%(-97%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-95%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·5%(-88%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·88%(+83%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+81%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 55%·99%(+79%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+77%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+76%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 40-50%·7%(-57%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 20%·2%(-57%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Bill Hill vote percent·At least 35%·1%(-54%)FL-02 Republican primary: Austin Rogers vote percent·At least 30%·98%(+53%)

Summary

Below 193 is favored at 23% as of 20 Aug 2026, 04:03 UTC across 11 markets. Kalshi odds.

house11 marketsLIVE

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

All options

Below 193

23%

—

$459K

198-202

15%

—

$124K

203-207

14%

—

$117K

208-212

12%

▼ -1%

$147K

193-197

11%

—

$164K

213-217

9.5%

▼ -1.5%

$142K

218-222

8.8%

▼ -0.1%

$259K

223-227

4.7%

▲ +0.4%

$323K

Above 237

3.4%

▲ +0.8%

$234K

228-232

2.5%

—

$283K

233-237

1.4%

▲ +0.4%

$215K