Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+93%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+68%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-56%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·4%(-47%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·7.9%(-39.1%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 8-12%·1%(-39%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·45%(-38%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·34%(-38%)FL-23 Democratic primary: Lois Frankel vote percent·At least 75%·2%(-38%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 8, 2026·43%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$47.5 trillion·64%(+33%)

Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+93%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+68%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-56%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·4%(-47%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·7.9%(-39.1%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 8-12%·1%(-39%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·45%(-38%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·34%(-38%)FL-23 Democratic primary: Lois Frankel vote percent·At least 75%·2%(-38%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 8, 2026·43%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$47.5 trillion·64%(+33%)

Summary

Below 193 is favored at 24% as of 20 Aug 2026, 05:03 UTC across 11 markets. Kalshi odds.

house11 marketsLIVE

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

All options

Below 193

24%

—

$459K

198-202

15%

—

$124K

203-207

14%

—

$117K

208-212

12%

▼ -1%

$147K

193-197

11%

—

$164K

213-217

9.5%

▼ -1.5%

$142K

218-222

8.8%

▼ -0.1%

$259K

223-227

4.7%

▲ +0.4%

$323K

Above 237

3.4%

▲ +0.8%

$234K

228-232

2.5%

—

$283K

233-237

1.4%

▲ +0.4%

$215K