Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat?
This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.
Liberals had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 19 Sep 2026, 16:05 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.
Historical options
Last recorded priceAbout this market
Market question: Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.
Market odds FAQ
What were the last recorded odds for Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat?
Liberals had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 19 Sep 2026, 16:05 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.
What are the historical odds for Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat?
Liberals: 99%; Örebropartiet: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.