Powered by KalshiWhich ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 39·99%(+76%)Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?·South Carolina·96%(+76%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥20%·85%(+76%)When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?·Before Aug 1, 2026·96%(+72%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Lee Murphy·1.2%(-63.8%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/19 - 7/25)·Above 1·99%(+49%)Dharmendra Pradhan announces departure as Minister of Education?·Before Sep 1, 2026·96%(+46%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jul 25, 2026·3%(-41%)Who will Trump pardon?·Do Kwon·60%(+40%)Alaska Governor winner? (Person)·Click Bishop·43%(+38%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jul 2026?·At least 9·35%(-37%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Ron DeSantis·28%(-35%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 24, 2026?·40.5 to 40.7·1%(-35%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?·1·47%(+35%)HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $170M·12%(-35%)

Powered by KalshiWhich ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 39·99%(+76%)Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?·South Carolina·96%(+76%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥20%·85%(+76%)When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?·Before Aug 1, 2026·96%(+72%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Lee Murphy·1.2%(-63.8%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/19 - 7/25)·Above 1·99%(+49%)Dharmendra Pradhan announces departure as Minister of Education?·Before Sep 1, 2026·96%(+46%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jul 25, 2026·3%(-41%)Who will Trump pardon?·Do Kwon·60%(+40%)Alaska Governor winner? (Person)·Click Bishop·43%(+38%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jul 2026?·At least 9·35%(-37%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Ron DeSantis·28%(-35%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 24, 2026?·40.5 to 40.7·1%(-35%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?·1·47%(+35%)HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $170M·12%(-35%)

Summary

Thomas Massie is favored at 5% as of 24 Jul 2026, 23:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

presidential1 marketLIVE

2028 Iowa Republican caucus winner?

Odds history

Loading chart

All options

Thomas Massie

5%

—

$1