Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWill Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·90.4%(+83.4%)Who will AOC endorse?·Darializa Avila Chevalier·2%(-76%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Teresa Fox·91%(+73%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·20%(-52%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·67%(+44%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·9%(-41%)AZ-01 Democratic nominee?·Jonathan Treble·23%(-40%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·3%(-38%)Early elections in the UK announced?·Before Sep 1, 2026·5%(-31%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Graham Platner·10%(-29%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·30%(-27%)Maine-Texas Senate Combo·James Talarico and Graham Platner·1%(-27%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Rand Paul·77%(+26%)When will a Trump passport be issued?·Before Jul 20, 2026·99%(+25%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·58%(+24%)
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Live summary

Before Oct 1, 2027 is favored at 64% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC across 4 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Before Oct 1, 2027: 64% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jul 1, 2027: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 8% (24h change 0%)
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