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PresidentialHistorical market

São Toméan presidential election winner?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Carlos Vila Nova had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 23 Jul 2026, 20:33 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Carlos Vila Nova
Closed contract
99%
Eugénio Tiny
Closed contract
5%
Nito D’Abreu
Closed contract
1%
Miques João Bonfim
Closed contract
1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for São Toméan presidential election winner?

Carlos Vila Nova had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 23 Jul 2026, 20:33 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for São Toméan presidential election winner?

Carlos Vila Nova: 99%; Eugénio Tiny: 5%; Nito D’Abreu: 1%; Miques João Bonfim: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.