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Powered by KalshiWho will run for South Carolina Senate?·Henry McMaster·96%(+94%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Gianni Infantino·7%(-91%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥20%·85%(+76%)Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?·South Carolina·95%(+75%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Lee Murphy·1.2%(-67.8%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/19 - 7/25)·Above 1·99%(+49%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Dan Osborn·53%(+48%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Roger Williams·54%(+44.6%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·73%(+44%)Who will visit the White House in 2026?·Volodymyr Zelenskyy·98%(+43%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Ian Murray·1%(-40%)When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?·Before Aug 1, 2026·92%(+40%)Who will Trump pardon?·Do Kwon·60%(+40%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/19-7/25)·At least 10·99%(+37%)Georgia Governor-Senate combo·Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win·39%(+36%)
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Summary

Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 55% as of 24 Jul 2026, 19:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Aug 1, 2028: 55% (24h change 0%)
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Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?

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