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Powered by KalshiFL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·98%(+93%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+91.6%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-91%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+91%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+90%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Oliver Gilbert·99%(+89%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Jim Schwartzel·99%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-85%)TN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·9.5%(-84.3%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Amir Ohana·1%(-83%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 60%·1%(-83%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·90%(+81%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·99%(+81%)
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Summary

Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 65% as of 30 Jul 2026, 16:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Aug 1, 2028: 65% (24h change 0%)
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Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?

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