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Powered by KalshiWhen will the Senate leave for August recess?·Before Aug 8, 2026·2%(-62%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·97.3%(+54.3%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kevin Spacey·27%(-53%)Michigan State Senate winner?·Republican party·72%(+52%)Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?·Sonia Sotomayor·59%(+50.2%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·63%(+46%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Jerome Powell·63%(+39%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·64%(+39%)Who will drop out of their election?·Max Miller (before 8/11)·7%(-34%)Next President of Hungary?·Botond Fülöp·1%(-33%)Colorado Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 18+ pts·75%(+33%)Will Trump do anything this week? (8/2-8/8)·At least 8·1%(-33%)Chicago Mayor winner?·Mike Quigley·0.3%(-28.7%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Aug 2026?·0·47%(-28%)Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?·Mike Lindell·46%(-25%)
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Summary

Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 76% as of 30 Jul 2026, 16:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Aug 1, 2028: 76% (24h change 0%)
scotus1 marketLIVE

Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?

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