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Powered by KalshiWho will run for South Carolina Senate?·Henry McMaster·1%(-95%)Who will be the next DNC Chair?·David Hogg·98.4%(+93.4%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·91%(+80%)Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?·Rahul Gandhi·88%(+80%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·15%(-77%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$52.5 trillion·91%(+72%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Brett Hueffmeier·72%(+68%)TN-07 Democratic nominee?·Darden Copeland·78%(+66%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·94.2%(+60.2%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 31, 2026?·Below 40.2·74%(+60%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/26 - 8/1)·Above 0·20%(-53%)Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?·Cassidy Hutchinson·26%(-49%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/24-7/31)?·Above 5.7%·96%(+47%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Peter Thiel·41%(-45%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Aug 1, 2026·1%(-43%)
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Summary

Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 84% as of 30 Jul 2026, 01:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Aug 1, 2028: 84% (24h change 0%)
scotus1 marketLIVE

Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?

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