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Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?

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Live market summary

Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 60% as of 23 Oct 2026, 20:41 UTC across 1 market.

  • Before Aug 1, 2028: 60% (24h change 0%)

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About this market

Market question: Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election?

Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 60% as of 23 Oct 2026, 20:41 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election?

Before Aug 1, 2028: 60%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.