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Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 28% as of 16 Sep 2026, 20:35 UTC across 1 market.

  • Before Aug 1, 2028: 28% (24h change 0%)
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Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

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About this market

Market question: Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is termina?

Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 28% as of 16 Sep 2026, 20:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is termina?

Before Aug 1, 2028: 28%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.