Before Jan 21, 2029 is favored at 74% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:15 UTC across 5 markets.
- Before Jan 21, 2029: 74% (24h change 0%)
- Before June 2027: 63% (24h change +41%)
- Before 2028: 57% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2027: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Before Oct 1, 2026: 1% (24h change 0%)
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
Before Jan 21, 2029 is favored at 74% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:15 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
Before Jan 21, 2029: 74%; Before June 2027: 63%; Before 2028: 57%; Before 2027: 8%; Before Oct 1, 2026: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.