Powered by KalshiWho will be the next Secretary of the Army?·Brian Mast·5%(-85%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·16%(-83%)When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·92%(+82%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Missouri·11%(-79%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·95%(+75%)MO-05 House winner?·Republican party·12%(-74%)Missouri's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 20+ pts·70%(+69%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·12%(-67%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·71%(+55%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·2%(-49%)Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?·Sean Hannity·56%(+49%)Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?·Before 2028·2%(-47%)Wisconsin's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·92.5%(+46.5%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Republicans, 6+ pts·14%(-44%)

Powered by KalshiWho will be the next Secretary of the Army?·Brian Mast·5%(-85%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·16%(-83%)When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·92%(+82%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Missouri·11%(-79%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·95%(+75%)MO-05 House winner?·Republican party·12%(-74%)Missouri's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 20+ pts·70%(+69%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·12%(-67%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·71%(+55%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·2%(-49%)Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?·Sean Hannity·56%(+49%)Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?·Before 2028·2%(-47%)Wisconsin's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·92.5%(+46.5%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Republicans, 6+ pts·14%(-44%)

Live market summary

Before Nov 21, 2026 is favored at 30% as of 4 Sep 2026, 05:33 UTC across 1 market.

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When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

All options

Before Nov 21, 2026

30%

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$318

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

Before Nov 21, 2026 is favored at 30% as of 4 Sep 2026, 05:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

Before Nov 21, 2026: 30%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.