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SenateHistorical market

Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Brett Matsumoto had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 8 Aug 2026, 21:03 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Brett Matsumoto
Closed contract
99%
Billy Long
Closed contract
99%
Stevan Pearce
Closed contract
99%
David MacNeil
Closed contract
5%
Walter "Jay" Clayton
Closed contract
1%
Casey Means
Closed contract
1%
Nicole Saphier
Closed contract
1%
Scott Bessent
Closed contract
1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?

Brett Matsumoto had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 8 Aug 2026, 21:03 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?

Brett Matsumoto: 99%; Billy Long: 99%; Stevan Pearce: 99%; David MacNeil: 5%; Walter "Jay" Clayton: 1%; Casey Means: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.