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Powered by KalshiWhen will the Senate leave for August recess?·Before Aug 8, 2026·2%(-62%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·97.3%(+54.3%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kevin Spacey·27%(-53%)Michigan State Senate winner?·Republican party·72%(+52%)Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?·Sonia Sotomayor·59%(+50.2%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·62%(+45%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Jerome Powell·63%(+39%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·64%(+39%)Who will drop out of their election?·Max Miller (before 8/11)·5%(-36%)Next President of Hungary?·Botond Fülöp·1%(-33%)Colorado Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 18+ pts·75%(+33%)Will Trump do anything this week? (8/2-8/8)·At least 8·2%(-32%)Chicago Mayor winner?·Mike Quigley·0.3%(-28.7%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Aug 2026?·0·48%(-27%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 10·18%(-25%)
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Summary

Chuck Schumer is favored at 60% as of 8 Aug 2026, 19:04 UTC across 13 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Chuck Schumer: 60% (24h change +2%)
  • Chris Murphy: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Chris Van Hollen: 9.9% (24h change +5.9%)
  • Brian Schatz: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Cory Booker: 4.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Mark Warner: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Ruben Gallego: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Patty Murray: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Jacky Rosen: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar: 1% (24h change -1%)
  • Tammy Baldwin: 1% (24h change -1%)
  • Raphael Warnock: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Jon Ossoff: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
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Next Senate Democratic Leader?

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