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Powered by KalshiNY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Micah Lasher, 4-6%·3%(-93%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·93%(+89%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 12 million·88%(+85%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Jul 2026?·At least 3·7%(-67%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 70k·99%(+67%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·Mike Lindell·99%(+66%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/13 - 7/19)·July 14·65%(+60%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 8·27%(-53%)Will the US Mint finalize a design for the Trump dollar before 2027?·In 2026·95.5%(+52.5%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Shabana Mahmood·93%(+51%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 60·70%(+49%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·John Thune·54%(+49%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Wes Streeting·94%(+46%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·79%(+44%)Joe Biden's presidential memoir release date·Before Oct 1, 2026·8%(-43%)
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Summary

Michele Tafoya is favored at 94.5% as of 15 Jul 2026, 19:02 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Michele Tafoya: 94.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Adam Schwarze: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Alycia Gruenhagen: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Mark York: 1.9% (24h change 0%)
  • David Hann: 1.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Tom Weiler: 1.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Royce White: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Julia Coleman: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Kristin Robbins: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

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