Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 30% as of 23 Sep 2026, 08:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 30% (24h change +12%)
- Before Dec 1, 2026: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Before Oct 1, 2026: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Before Nov 1, 2026: 2% (24h change 0%)
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 30% as of 23 Sep 2026, 08:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 30%; Before Dec 1, 2026: 12%; Before Oct 1, 2026: 2%; Before Nov 1, 2026: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.