Chuck Schumer is favored at 41% as of 25 Sep 2026, 13:36 UTC across 6 markets.
- Chuck Schumer: 41% (24h change +7%)
- John Thune: 31% (24h change -3%)
- Brian Schatz: 19% (24h change +10%)
- Chris Van Hollen: 7% (24h change 0%)
- John Barrasso: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Tom Cotton: 2% (24h change 0%)
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer is favored at 41% as of 25 Sep 2026, 13:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer: 41%; John Thune: 31%; Brian Schatz: 19%; Chris Van Hollen: 7%; John Barrasso: 3%; Tom Cotton: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.