People's Party, 3-6% is favored at 30% as of 6 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC across 7 markets.
- People's Party, 3-6%: 30% (24h change 0%)
- People's Party, 6-9%: 23% (24h change 0%)
- People's Party, 0-3%: 20% (24h change 0%)
- People's Party, 9-12%: 12% (24h change 0%)
- PSOE, 0-3%: 10% (24h change 0%)
- People's Party, ≥12%: 6% (24h change 0%)
- PSOE, ≥3%: 4% (24h change 0%)
Spanish general election: margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Spanish general election: margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Spanish general election: margin of victory?
People's Party, 3-6% is favored at 30% as of 6 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Spanish general election: margin of victory?
People's Party, 3-6%: 30%; People's Party, 6-9%: 23%; People's Party, 0-3%: 20%; People's Party, 9-12%: 12%; PSOE, 0-3%: 10%; People's Party, ≥12%: 6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.