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CabinetHistorical market

Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Wes Streeting had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 1 Jul 2026, 17:34 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Wes Streeting
Closed contract
99%
Shabana Mahmood
Closed contract
2%
Pat McFadden
Closed contract
2%
Jonathan Reynolds
Closed contract
2%
Rachel Reeves
Closed contract
1%
Ed Miliband
Closed contract
1%
David Lammy
Closed contract
1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

Wes Streeting had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 1 Jul 2026, 17:34 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

Wes Streeting: 99%; Shabana Mahmood: 2%; Pat McFadden: 2%; Jonathan Reynolds: 2%; Rachel Reeves: 1%; Ed Miliband: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.