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Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?

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Live market summary

Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment is favored at 82% as of 28 Oct 2026, 05:34 UTC across 2 markets.

  • Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment: 82% (24h change +3%)
  • Increase Time for Senate to Act on Judicial Appointments Amendment: 81% (24h change 0%)
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Market question: Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?

Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment is favored at 82% as of 28 Oct 2026, 05:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?

Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment: 82%; Increase Time for Senate to Act on Judicial Appointments Amendment: 81%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.