When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.
Before Jan 1, 2027 had the highest retained price at 92% when this page was last updated on 24 Sep 2026, 20:07 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.
Historical options
Last recorded priceAbout this market
Market question: When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.
Market odds FAQ
What were the last recorded odds for When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
Before Jan 1, 2027 had the highest retained price at 92% when this page was last updated on 24 Sep 2026, 20:07 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.
What are the historical odds for When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 92%; Before Nov 1, 2026: 87%; Before Oct 1, 2026: 86%; Before Dec 1, 2026: 58%; Before Sep 1, 2026: 39%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.