What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?
This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.
Between 10% and 19.99% had the highest retained price at 94.3% when this page was last updated on 1 Jul 2026, 17:34 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.
Historical options
Last recorded priceHow to read these odds
Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.
Market odds FAQ
What were the last recorded odds for What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?
Between 10% and 19.99% had the highest retained price at 94.3% when this page was last updated on 1 Jul 2026, 17:34 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.
What are the historical odds for What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?
Between 10% and 19.99%: 94.3%; Below 10%: 6.8%; Between 20% and 29.99%: 4.9%; Above 60%: 2%; Between 30% and 39.99%: 2%; Between 40% and 49.99%: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.