Below 36% is favored at 82% as of 9 Oct 2026, 13:36 UTC across 4 markets.
- Below 36%: 82% (24h change +8%)
- Below 35%: 37% (24h change 0%)
- Below 34%: 17% (24h change +3%)
- Below 33%: 11% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
Below 36% is favored at 82% as of 9 Oct 2026, 13:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
Below 36%: 82%; Below 35%: 37%; Below 34%: 17%; Below 33%: 11%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.