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Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 4, 2026?
Trade ↗Live market summary
39.1% is favored at 49% as of 4 Nov 2026, 05:04 UTC across 9 markets.
- 39.1%: 49% (24h change 0%)
- 39.2%: 21% (24h change 0%)
- 39.0%: 11% (24h change 0%)
- 39.3%: 8% (24h change 0%)
- 39.4%: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Below 38.8%: 4% (24h change 0%)
- 38.9%: 4% (24h change 0%)
- 38.8%: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Above 39.4%: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 4, 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 4, 2026?
39.1% is favored at 49% as of 4 Nov 2026, 05:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 4, 2026?
39.1%: 49%; 39.2%: 21%; 39.0%: 11%; 39.3%: 8%; 39.4%: 5%; Below 38.8%: 4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.