Live market summary
38.8% is favored at 36% as of 30 Sep 2026, 20:07 UTC across 9 markets.
- 38.8%: 36% (24h change 0%)
- 38.7%: 23% (24h change 0%)
- 38.6%: 13% (24h change 0%)
- 38.9%: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Below 38.5%: 7% (24h change 0%)
- 38.5%: 6% (24h change 0%)
- 39.0%: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Above 39.1%: 3% (24h change 0%)
- 39.1%: 3% (24h change 0%)
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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026?
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About this market
Market question: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026?
38.8% is favored at 36% as of 30 Sep 2026, 20:07 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026?
38.8%: 36%; 38.7%: 23%; 38.6%: 13%; 38.9%: 12%; Below 38.5%: 7%; 38.5%: 6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.