Below 38.5% is favored at 63% as of 2 Oct 2026, 00:36 UTC across 9 markets.
- Below 38.5%: 63% (24h change 0%)
- 38.7%: 15% (24h change 0%)
- 38.8%: 9% (24h change 0%)
- 38.5%: 7% (24h change 0%)
- 38.6%: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Above 39.1%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- 39.1%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- 39.0%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- 38.9%: 2% (24h change 0%)
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026?
Below 38.5% is favored at 63% as of 2 Oct 2026, 00:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026?
Below 38.5%: 63%; 38.7%: 15%; 38.8%: 9%; 38.5%: 7%; 38.6%: 6%; Above 39.1%: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.