Live market summary
38.1% is favored at 55% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:06 UTC across 9 markets.
- 38.1%: 55% (24h change 0%)
- 38.2%: 37% (24h change 0%)
- 38.0%: 5% (24h change 0%)
- 37.9%: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Below 37.9%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- 38.3%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- 38.4%: 1% (24h change 0%)
- 38.5%: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Above 38.5%: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026?
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About this market
Market question: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026?
38.1% is favored at 55% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026?
38.1%: 55%; 38.2%: 37%; 38.0%: 5%; 37.9%: 3%; Below 37.9%: 2%; 38.3%: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.