Above 38.6% is favored at 25% as of 5 Oct 2026, 15:36 UTC across 9 markets.
- Above 38.6%: 25% (24h change 0%)
- 38.5%: 23% (24h change 0%)
- 38.4%: 21% (24h change 0%)
- 38.3%: 15% (24h change 0%)
- 38.6%: 12% (24h change 0%)
- 38.2%: 8% (24h change 0%)
- 38.1%: 3% (24h change 0%)
- 38.0%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Below 38.0%: 1% (24h change 0%)
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?
Above 38.6% is favored at 25% as of 5 Oct 2026, 15:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?
Above 38.6%: 25%; 38.5%: 23%; 38.4%: 21%; 38.3%: 15%; 38.6%: 12%; 38.2%: 8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.