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Live market summary

Below 38.8% is favored at 32% as of 16 Oct 2026, 00:35 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Below 38.8%: 32% (24h change 0%)
  • 38.8%: 32% (24h change 0%)
  • 38.9%: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.0%: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.1%: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.3%: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.4%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 39.4%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.2%: 3% (24h change 0%)
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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?

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About this market

Market question: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?

Below 38.8% is favored at 32% as of 16 Oct 2026, 00:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?

Below 38.8%: 32%; 38.8%: 32%; 38.9%: 15%; 39.0%: 10%; 39.1%: 5%; 39.3%: 4%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.