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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 31, 2026?

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Live market summary

38.4% is favored at 70% as of 30 Oct 2026, 17:36 UTC across 9 markets.

  • 38.4%: 70% (24h change 0%)
  • 38.5%: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • 38.6%: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 38.6%: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • 38.3%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • 38.2%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Below 38.0%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • 38.1%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • 38.0%: 1% (24h change 0%)

All options

38.5%

14%
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38.6%

12%
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About this market

Market question: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 31, 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 31, 2026?

38.4% is favored at 70% as of 30 Oct 2026, 17:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 31, 2026?

38.4%: 70%; 38.5%: 14%; 38.6%: 12%; Above 38.6%: 5%; 38.3%: 3%; 38.2%: 2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.