ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiTexas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 8.80M·93%(+73%)When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?·Before Apr 1, 2027·97%(+66%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent·At least 60%·2%(-58%)Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?·Before Jan 31, 2028·26%(-56%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥10%·92%(+55%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Jeromie Whalen vote percent·At least 40%·99%(+54%)MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent·At least 45%·3%(-50%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 11, 2026·11%(-48%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Beau Bayh·49%(-46%)MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)·Richard Neal, ≥20%·1%(-43%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)·Ed Markey, ≥35%·1%(-42%)MA-08 Democratic primary: Stephen Lynch vote percent·At least 55%·97%(+39%)Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?·Die Linke·53%(+38%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 50·3%(-37%)When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?·Before Jan 1, 2027·97%(+37%)
Back
Summary

39.3% is favored at 91% as of 2 Sep 2026, 08:04 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 39.3%: 91% (24h change 0%)
  • Below 39.2%: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.8%: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 39.8%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.4%: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.5%: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.6%: 2% (24h change 0%)
presidential7 marketsLIVE

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 2, 2026?

Trade ↗

All options

39.3%

91%
Trade ↗