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Powered by KalshiTexas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 8.80M·93%(+73%)When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?·Before Apr 1, 2027·97%(+66%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent·At least 55%·4%(-65%)MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)·Richard Neal, ≥15%·2%(-63%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥10%·98%(+61%)When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 4, 2026·3%(-56%)Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?·Brandon Dukes·99%(+54%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?·Above 38.6%·76%(+53%)MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-51%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·90%(+50%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 11, 2026·11%(-48%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Beau Bayh·50%(-45%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?·Kevin Warsh·22%(-44%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Jeromie Whalen vote percent·At least 40%·99%(+44%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)·Ed Markey, ≥35%·1%(-42%)
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Summary

39.9% is favored at 38% as of 2 Sep 2026, 20:35 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 39.9%: 38% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.5%: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.8%: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 39.9%: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.7%: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.6%: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.3%: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.4%: 1% (24h change 0%)
presidential8 marketsLIVE

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 3, 2026?

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39.9%

38%
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39.8%

30%
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39.7%

13%
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39.6%

12%
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