Live market summary
39.9% is favored at 55% as of 4 Sep 2026, 21:34 UTC across 9 markets.
- 39.9%: 55% (24h change 0%)
- 39.5%: 43% (24h change 0%)
- 39.8%: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Above 40.1%: 5% (24h change 0%)
- 39.6%: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Below 39.5%: 4% (24h change 0%)
- 40.0%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- 40.1%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- 39.7%: 1% (24h change 0%)
presidential9 marketsLIVE
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 5, 2026?
Trade ↗Odds history
Loading chart
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 5, 2026?
39.9% is favored at 55% as of 4 Sep 2026, 21:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 5, 2026?
39.9%: 55%; 39.5%: 43%; 39.8%: 25%; Above 40.1%: 5%; 39.6%: 5%; Below 39.5%: 4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.