Live market summary
Above 40.2% is favored at 7% as of 5 Sep 2026, 17:34 UTC across 3 markets.
- Above 40.2%: 7% (24h change 0%)
- 40.1%: 6% (24h change 0%)
- 40.2%: 3% (24h change 0%)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 6, 2026?
Above 40.2% is favored at 7% as of 5 Sep 2026, 17:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 6, 2026?
Above 40.2%: 7%; 40.1%: 6%; 40.2%: 3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.