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Live market summary

40.0% is favored at 30% as of 16 Sep 2026, 01:36 UTC across 9 markets.

  • 40.0%: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.9%: 23% (24h change 0%)
  • Below 39.7%: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.8%: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.1%: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.7%: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.2%: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.3%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 40.3%: 2% (24h change 0%)
presidential9 marketsLIVE

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 16, 2026?

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39.8%

13%
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40.1%

13%
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About this market

Market question: Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 16, 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 16, 2026?

40.0% is favored at 30% as of 16 Sep 2026, 01:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 16, 2026?

40.0%: 30%; 39.9%: 23%; Below 39.7%: 13%; 39.8%: 13%; 40.1%: 13%; 39.7%: 10%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.